March 3, 2017

UFC 209 Sportsbook

The official NEW Sweet Science Sportsbook will be for numbered events. We will perform a thorough analysis and give you our best plays and values. We don’t pick every fight. We pick the best of the best. Remember, more time and effort go into the numbered events. We will still post the others because we are degenerate gamblers who like to have fun. We typically use the lines provided by 5Dimes. No, we don’t get paid by them, they just have the most available options for UFC and MMA.

UFC 209: Tyron Woodley vs. Stephen Thompson 2

Please remember, moneylines are like point spreads. You cannot just think a fighter will win, so I should pick them. It is about where you see value for your money.

Cousin Frank Lock of the Season: Tyron Woodley +135

Plays of the card:

Overeem/Hunt does not go the distance -265
Vannata/Teymur does not go the distance -115

Great Value:

Woodley TKO/KO +425
Woodley +145
Ferguson +158
Overeem TKO/KO +300
Ferguson by unanimous decision +905
Teymur by TKO/KO +775

Other Possible Plays:

Ferguson by submission +435
Khabib by decision +205
Evans by decision +170
Hunt wins in round 2 +700
Vannata by TKO/KO +190

Possible underdog plays:

Elkins +550 (Bektic not proven enough for -800)
Craig inside distance +172
Hunt wins in round 1 +275

Smart Value Parlay:

Woodley + Ferguson = 5.3 to 1
5 to 1 odds for having these two fighters is a fantastic value. Plus, this is not a prop bet, so you will be able to make it on most sites.

Party Parlay (Where everyone at a party can thrown in $5-10 and win decent money, therefore increasing the fun!!

If your party is Pro Ferguson,
Ferguson by sub +435 & Woodley by TKO/KO +425 = 27 to 1
If your party is Pro Khabib,
Khabib by sub +475 & Woodley by TKO/KO +425 = 29 to 1
(If your party is Pro Thompson, a somewhat close value is Thompson by unanimous decision +375)

Big Lottery Parlay

Ferguson by unanimous decision +905 & Woodley TKO/KO +425 & Overeem by TKO/KO +300 = 210 to 1
Ferguson by unanimous decision +905 & Woodley TKO/KO +425 & Hunt wins in round 1 +275 = 197 to 1

Buy a Vacation Parlay

Ferguson in round 4 +1500 & Woodley in round 2 +1000 & Hunt in round 2 +700 = 1407 to 1
Khabib in round 4 +2000 & Woodley in round 2 +1000 & Hunt in round 2 +700 = 1847 to 1

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